The road to Atlanta runs through three road games this weekend, and the first one kicks off tonight. Every team leading its race in the latest Toyota Championship Projection plays away from home, and none of them faces a bigger test than No. 1 Alabama A&M.
The Bulldogs visit No. 6 Prairie View A&M on Saturday with about a four-in-five chance to win the SWAC East and a 64.02% chance to reach the Cricket Celebration Bowl presented by Toyota. In the West, No. 5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff takes the division lead over Grambling State, and North Carolina A&T tries to stretch its winning streak to four at Monmouth, which has not lost in CAA play.
Before any of that, No. 2 South Carolina State visits Howard tonight on ESPNU. Rankings are from this week’s Black College Football Poll, and yesterday’s projection update has every team’s odds. Here are all Division I HBCU games on the board.
| Matchup | Kickoff | Where | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina State at Howard | Thu. 7:30 p.m. ET / 6:30 p.m. CT | Washington, D.C. | ESPNU |
| North Carolina Central at Norfolk State | 12 p.m. ET / 11 a.m. CT | Norfolk, Va. | ESPN+ |
| North Carolina A&T at Monmouth | 12 p.m. ET / 11 a.m. CT | West Long Branch, N.J. | FloCollege |
| Morgan State at Delaware State | 1 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. CT | Dover, Del. | ESPN+ |
| Hampton at Elon | 2 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. CT | Elon, N.C. | FloCollege |
| Alabama A&M at Prairie View A&M | 3 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. CT | Prairie View, Texas | SWAC TV |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Grambling State | 3 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. CT | Grambling, LA. | SWAC TV |
| Bethune-Cookman at Southern | 3 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. CT | Baton Rouge, LA. | SWAC TV |
| Florida A&M at Alcorn State | 3 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. CT | Lorman, Miss. | SWAC TV |
| Mississippi Valley State at Jackson State | 3 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. CT | Jackson, Miss. | HBCU GO |
| Alabama State at Texas Southern | 3 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. CT | Houston, Texas | SWAC TV |
| Southeast Missouri State at Tennessee State | 3:30 p.m. ET / 2:30 p.m. CT | Nashville, Tenn. | ESPN+ |
The Game of the Week: No. 1 Alabama A&M at No. 6 Prairie View A&M
Alabama A&M visits Prairie View A&M at 3 p.m. ET (2 p.m. CT) on SWAC TV in a cross-division game with stakes in both races. Alabama A&M (7-2, 4-1 SWAC) wins the East in 80.19% of the projection’s simulations. Prairie View A&M (4-5, 3-2 SWAC) is tied for first in the West with Alcorn State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff and has a 22.79% chance to win the division.
The Bulldogs are coming off a 31-28 escape in the Magic City Classic, where they needed a fourth-down stop in the final two minutes to hold off Alabama State. Prairie View has not played since a 30-19 win at East Texas A&M on Oct. 24, so the Panthers come in rested after a week off.
The yardage numbers lean heavily toward the visitors. Alabama A&M gains 484.4 yards a game and allows 286.7. Prairie View gains 332.0 and allows 403.9. The Bulldogs throw for 282.1 yards a game, and the Panthers allow 238.0 through the air.
About Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M scores 39.1 points a game and allows 20.9. Against FCS opponents, it wins by 15.3 points and 181 yards a game, the best margins of any Division I HBCU.
Cornelious Brown completed 22 of 35 passes for 216 yards and two touchdowns in the Magic City Classic and ran for 60 yards and another score. Kolton Nero broke a 61-yard run that set up the touchdown that put the Bulldogs ahead 31-21, and D.J. Barber made 13 tackles.
The Bulldogs are No. 1 in the Black College Football Poll and No. 2 in the Data Driven HBCU Computer Poll. This week’s poll comparison breaks down how they stack up with South Carolina State.
About Prairie View A&M
Prairie View and North Carolina Central are the only teams in the voters’ top 10 with losing records, and the Panthers got there with one of the toughest schedules among Division I HBCUs. The Panthers’ five losses include Tarleton State, Stephen F. Austin, and FBS Baylor, and they have won their last two games.
Their three SWAC wins came over Texas Southern, Grambling State and Alcorn State. The Panthers are 4-4 against FCS opponents and score 25.3 points a game while allowing 29.4. A win would make the Panthers the first SWAC team other than Jackson State to beat Alabama A&M this season.
First Place on the Line in the West: No. 5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Grambling State
Arkansas-Pine Bluff visits Grambling State at 3 p.m. ET (2 p.m. CT) at Eddie Robinson Stadium on SWAC TV. The Golden Lions (5-3, 3-2 SWAC) lead the projection’s West race at 36.28% after a week in which they jumped from fourth to first. Grambling State (4-4, 2-3 SWAC) fell from first to fourth and is at 6.37%.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff has won two straight, and last week’s 63-21 rout of Bethune-Cookman was the most lopsided win by a Division I HBCU over an FCS opponent this season. The Golden Lions led 49-0 at halftime, returned five interceptions for 128 yards, and ran for 333 yards.
Grambling State has lost two straight, including a 23-20 overtime loss at Texas Southern last week in which Athean Renfro Jr. ran for 233 yards. The Tigers allow 201.9 rushing yards a game, and Arkansas-Pine Bluff runs for 224.2.
About Arkansas-Pine Bluff
The Golden Lions score 36.4 points a game and run the ball as well as anyone in the SWAC. Against FCS opponents, they win by 13.6 points a game, the second-best mark among Division I HBCUs.
Demetric Whitlock Jr., the SWAC Newcomer of the Week, caught three touchdown passes from Jack Schierholz last week and leads the team with 36 catches, 570 yards and nine touchdowns. Kicker Trey Glymph, the Special Teams Player of the Week, has not missed a field goal this season. The pass defense remains a question mark, allowing 296.1 yards a game.
About Grambling State
Grambling State has been one of the SWAC’s most unpredictable teams. The Tigers beat Alcorn State 63-59 and Jackson State 45-38 in back-to-back weeks, then lost 61-31 at Alabama A&M and in overtime at Texas Southern.
Their offense scores 34.6 points a game, and Tyson George leads the receivers with six touchdown catches. The defense has been the problem, allowing 37.2 points and 462.5 yards a game, the most yards of any Division I HBCU. A loss would leave Grambling State 2-4 in SWAC play with two games to go.
North Carolina A&T at Monmouth
North Carolina A&T visits Monmouth at 12 p.m. ET at Kessler Stadium in West Long Branch, N.J., with the game on FloCollege. The Aggies (4-5, 3-2 CAA) have won three straight after sealing the 100th GHOE with a 13-10 win over Elon, and they have won four of their last five.
Monmouth is the toughest test left on their schedule. The Hawks are unbeaten in CAA play and beat Bryant 34-21 last week, led by Elijah Jennings, the CAA Offensive Player of the Week, who ran for a career-high 175 yards and two touchdowns. Monmouth also beat Hampton 49-13 two weeks ago and won last year’s meeting with A&T 63-19 in Greensboro.
The Aggies will lean on their defense. Linebacker Tyrek Brown was named CAA Co-Defensive Player of the Week after forcing two fumbles against Elon, including the strip sack that sealed the win, and A&T held the Phoenix to nine first downs and 201 total yards. A&T’s offense has been the concern, averaging 19.4 points and 312.6 yards a game, and Kevin White led the team with 97 rushing yards last week.
Shawn Gibbs knows how big the step up is. “Really good football team. I think they’re good in all three phases,” the A&T coach said on this week’s CAA teleconference. “There’s a reason why they’re nationally ranked. They’re a top 20 team for a reason.”
Gibbs also made it clear the Aggies have not arrived yet, even with the winning streak. “They’re winning games, but we still haven’t played our best ball yet,” he said. “We haven’t put two halves together.” He pointed to the opening minutes of the second half against Elon, which started with a special teams mistake, as the kind of stretch A&T cannot afford in New Jersey. “What we can’t have against a nationally ranked team like Monmouth is those moments, because that’s when teams like that can pull away from you.”
The defense has been the steadiest part of the turnaround, and Gibbs credited the front seven. “I think the uptick in play really starts with the way we’ve been playing up front,” he said. “Those guys are doing a good job of being disruptive up front, and that gives our playmakers a chance behind those guys to make plays.”
On offense, the Aggies go as Kevin White goes. Gibbs said White’s biggest growth has come as a leader of the entire team, not just the offense. “I think he understands when to use his athleticism and when to play within the system,” Gibbs said. “When he does that, and we got guys around him that are playing at a high level, we can be a really good offense.”
A&T also turned heads with its look for GHOE 100. The Aggies wore helmets with “A&T 4” on the back and the old walking dog logo, along with tributes on the side to the late Rev. Jesse Jackson and Pro Football Hall of Famer Elvin Bethea, all in a color scheme borrowed from the program’s 1980s and 1990s teams. “We knew it was the 100th anniversary of the Greatest Homecoming on Earth,” Gibbs said when Data Driven HBCU asked about the design. “So we wanted to do something to kind of honor the greats and let our team understand that greatness lives here in Greensboro.”
Around the Division I HBCU Slate
No. 2 South Carolina State at Howard (Thursday)
South Carolina State visits Howard tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPNU, its second straight nationally televised Thursday game. The Bulldogs (7-2, 2-0 MEAC) reach Atlanta in 75.97% of the projection’s simulations, and Howard (4-5, 1-1 MEAC) is at 2.48%.
South Carolina State leads the nation in total defense, allowing 235.6 yards a game, and it is coming off a 51-10 win at Morgan State in which Keely Watson, the MEAC Offensive Player of the Week, threw four touchdown passes. The Bulldogs are No. 24 in the Stats Perform FCS Top 25 and No. 17 in the AFCA poll.
Howard is trying to bounce back from a 34-0 loss at North Carolina Central, in which it managed four first downs and 114 total yards. The Bison still own wins over Alabama A&M and Morgan State, but a loss tonight would all but end their MEAC title hopes.
The Bulldogs’ pass rush is another reason they are favored. All six MEAC teams rank in the top 30 nationally in sacks, and South Carolina State leads the league at fifth nationally. Howard’s offense has averaged 248.9 yards per game this season.
A South Carolina State win, paired with a North Carolina Central win on Saturday, would set up a meeting of unbeaten MEAC teams when the Eagles visit Orangeburg on Nov. 14. Howard closes with Delaware State at home and Norfolk State on the road.
North Carolina Central at Norfolk State
North Carolina Central visits Norfolk State at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Eagles (4-5, 2-0 MEAC) share the MEAC lead with South Carolina State and are at 20.41% in the projection, the only team within real reach of the Bulldogs.
North Carolina Central leads the nation with 20 forced turnovers, and its defense just shut out Howard. Khareem Thompson, the MEAC Defensive Player of the Week, had 2.5 tackles for loss in that game, and Joshua Jones accounted for three touchdowns.
Norfolk State (4-5, 0-2 MEAC) has lost two straight, including a 36-33 loss to Delaware State in Philadelphia after leading by 17 points twice. Jason Wonodi leads the nation with three punt return touchdowns, and the Spartans’ run defense allows just 100.8 yards a game.
The Eagles opened MEAC play with a 31-12 win at Delaware State, when Gino Addison ran for 214 yards. After this trip, they finish at South Carolina State on Nov. 14 and at home against Morgan State.
Morgan State at Delaware State
Morgan State visits Delaware State at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Bears (5-4, 0-2 MEAC) have lost three straight and are at 0.02% in the projection. A week earlier, they were at 25.15%.
Delaware State (5-4, 1-1 MEAC) is No. 7 in the Black College Football Poll after its comeback win in Philadelphia, where Marqui Adams threw four touchdown passes and Matteo Bracalenti won it with a 35-yard field goal as time expired. The Hornets are No. 6 in the BOXTOROW poll.
Morgan State’s offense has stalled during the skid. The Bears ran for minus 12 yards against South Carolina State, and they allow 284.2 passing yards a game.
Delaware State closed the Battle of the Legends by scoring the final 20 points, and it has a chance to finish the season strong with Howard and South Carolina State still ahead. A win would move the Hornets to 2-1 in MEAC play.
Morgan State closes with Norfolk State at home and North Carolina Central on the road. The Bears were 5-1 after beating Robert Morris on Oct. 10 and have not won since.
No. 9 Bethune-Cookman at Southern
Bethune-Cookman visits Southern at 3 p.m. ET on SWAC TV. The Wildcats (5-4, 3-2 SWAC) fell from third to ninth in the voters’ poll after the loss at Arkansas-Pine Bluff, and their East odds dropped to 4.58%.
Southern (4-5, 2-3 SWAC) is coming off its most complete game of the season, a 42-14 win at Florida A&M. Trey Holly ran for 204 yards in that game, and cornerback Michael Williams II, the SWAC Defensive Player of the Week, returned an interception 98 yards for a touchdown.
Bethune-Cookman needs to clean up its passing game after throwing five interceptions last week. The Wildcats run for 214.8 yards a game, but Southern has allowed 203.4 on the ground.
Southern is projected at 3.57% to win the West, and it still has Alcorn State at home next week before the Bayou Classic against Grambling State. A win over a ranked team would keep the Jaguars in the West conversation. Two weeks ago, Bethune-Cookman was beating No. 1 Jackson State.
Florida A&M at No. 4 Alcorn State
Alcorn State hosts Florida A&M at 3 p.m. ET on SWAC TV. The Braves (5-4, 3-2 SWAC) jumped from 10th to fourth in the voters’ poll and are at 29.93% to win the West, second behind Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
Alcorn State piled up 585 yards in last week’s 52-17 win at Mississippi Valley State. Jaylon Tolbert completed 23 of 29 passes for 320 yards and three touchdowns, and the Braves score 43.0 points a game, the most of any Division I HBCU.
Florida A&M (2-7, 1-4 SWAC) is ineligible for the postseason and has lost three straight. The Rattlers allow 240.3 rushing yards a game.
Armond Parker threw for 263 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s loss to Southern, and Corey Petty caught seven passes for 118 yards. The Rattlers’ run game has been the problem all season, averaging 73.8 yards a game.
Alcorn State cannot afford a slip. After this game, the Braves visit Southern and host Jackson State, and they are tied with Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Prairie View A&M at 3-2 in the West.
Mississippi Valley State at Jackson State
Jackson State returns from a bye to host Mississippi Valley State at 3 p.m. ET on HBCU GO. The No. 3 Tigers (6-2, 3-2 SWAC) are at 15.11% to win the East and need Alabama A&M to stumble.
Jackson State’s last game was a 24-21 loss at Bethune-Cookman on Oct. 24. The Tigers average 35.6 points per game and allow 22.0, and they have the third-best yardage margin among Division I HBCUs this season.
Mississippi Valley State (3-6, 2-3 SWAC) has lost two straight, including last week’s 52-17 loss to Alcorn State.
Jackson State’s path is simple but not in its control. The Tigers own the head-to-head win over Alabama A&M, 31-28 on Oct. 3, but they need to win out against Mississippi Valley State, Alabama State and Alcorn State and get help along the way.
Jared Lockhart threw for 211 yards and two touchdowns in the loss at Bethune-Cookman. Mississippi Valley State’s Josh Brown threw a 40-yard touchdown pass to Jaylen King last week, but the Delta Devils allow 36.1 points a game.
No. 10 Alabama State at Texas Southern
Alabama State visits Texas Southern at 3 p.m. ET on SWAC TV. The Hornets (4-4, 2-3 SWAC) have lost their three SWAC games by a combined 10 points, including last week’s 31-28 loss in the Magic City Classic.
Texas Southern (3-5, 2-3 SWAC) has won two straight, and Athean Renfro Jr. is the reason. The SWAC Offensive Player of the Week ran for 233 yards and two touchdowns against Grambling State and is second in the SWAC with 899 rushing yards.
Alabama State allows just 19.5 points a game, the second fewest among Division I HBCUs, so something has to give.
Texas Southern beat Grambling State on Cam’Ron McCoy’s 6-yard touchdown run in overtime and ran for 317 yards as a team. Alabama State had its own big rushing day in the Magic City Classic, when Jareese Howard scored three touchdowns, and Aaron Frye ran for 90 yards.
Both teams are 2-3 in SWAC play. Alabama State still has Jackson State and Prairie View A&M ahead, and Texas Southern finishes against Alabama A&M and Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
Hampton at Elon
Hampton (1-8, 0-5 CAA) visits Elon at 2 p.m. ET on FloCollege. The Pirates lost 44-13 at Towson last week, when the previously winless Tigers ran for 334 yards.
Elon (4-5, 2-3 CAA) is coming off the 13-10 loss at North Carolina A&T. Kamerin McDowell-Moore ran for 102 yards in that game.
Hampton allows 213.9 rushing yards a game, which makes McDowell-Moore the matchup to watch.
Van Malone was blunt about what has gone wrong in his first season. “We have to understand that the games are won or lost on execution,” the Hampton coach said on this week’s CAA teleconference. “We’re still searching for the standards that we set for those to show up on Saturday.”
He also made it clear the Pirates are not packing it in with three games left. “I’ve been proud of our team because they’ve continued to fight; they haven’t quit,” Malone said. “We’re gonna finish this season strong because that’s what I think we’re trying to create and build here at Hampton.”
Southeast Missouri State at Tennessee State
Tennessee State (2-7, 0-4 OVC) hosts Southeast Missouri State at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Tigers were shut out 27-0 at Lindenwood last week and have lost two straight.
Tennessee State’s offense has struggled to run the ball all season, averaging 57.9 rushing yards a game, the fewest among Division I HBCUs. Cam Bulluck caught seven passes for 64 yards last week.
The Tigers are still looking for their first OVC win of the season.
Tennessee State has split time at quarterback between Daylin Lee and Byron McNair, and Lindenwood sacked them six times last week. The Tigers’ last win came on Oct. 17, when they beat then No. 24 Morgan State 25-16 on Homecoming.
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