2025 Football Season Dashboard

Full 21-Team Rankings — 2025 Season

Rank	School	Record	Conf	Tier	Composite

Composite = 0.20×Win% + 0.28×SOS + 0.22×TierW + 0.25×H2H + 0.05×PtDiff.

5-Factor Composite Model — 2025 Final Settings

28%

Strength of Schedule

Normalized; includes non-D1 tax of −0.06/game (cap −0.12)

25%

Head-to-Head

Direct + transitive credit (15%). Recency-scaled.

22%

Tier-Weighted Wins

T1: +1.15 · T2: +0.60 · T3: +0.05 per win

20%

Adjusted Win %

FBS de-weighted (0.5×); non-D1 excluded from denominator

Point Differential

Per-game avg, bounded to [−0.06, +0.06] — blowout cap

Penalties & Adjustments

Non-D1 Handling

Non-D1 wins count as 0 rating value — no credit for cupcake wins
SOS tax: −0.06 per non-D1 game scheduled (maximum cap: −0.12)

Tier-3 Universal Penalty

−0.04 deducted per Tier-3 FCS win
Tiers are inputs (not model outputs) — set before season begins

Quality Win Bump

Tier-1 and FBS wins receive +0.004 × margin of victory
Cap of +0.06 per win — rewards close wins fairly, doesn't reward blowouts

Weekly Mechanics

Weekly rise cap: +5 positions per week
Idle smoothing ON — bye weeks don't tank or inflate a team's rank
Season-only scope — fresh slate each year, no prior-year carryover

Tweet Templates — #DataDrivenHBCUTop5 Format

DataDrivenHBCU @DataDrivenHBCU

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Thread Reply Format — one per ranked school

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Data Pipeline — Status & Coverage

Total Programs

D1 HBCU Football programs

Stat Entries

—

Player stats loaded from PDFs

Roster Players

—

Across all 21 programs

Storage

SQLite

hbcu_rankings.db — local, portable

School Coverage

School	Conference	Tier	Athletic Domain	PDF Download	CFBD Coverage

2025 Season Statistical Leaders — All 21 D1 HBCU Programs

2025 Rosters — All 21 Programs

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Update the JSON data file to include roster entries.

Non-D1 Handling

Tier-3 Universal Penalty

Quality Win Bump

Weekly Mechanics

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